Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.043545 0.050729 0.058720 0.068268 0.079369 0.091869 0.107021
2025-11-09 0.031158 0.040171 0.051240 0.065836 0.084588 0.107889 0.139078
2025-11-16 0.024581 0.034298 0.047191 0.065552 0.091054 0.125267 0.174753
2025-11-23 0.020086 0.029917 0.043819 0.064917 0.096167 0.140833 0.209704
2025-11-30 0.017345 0.027332 0.042253 0.066172 0.103625 0.160159 0.252281
2025-12-07 0.014807 0.024533 0.039792 0.065480 0.107740 0.174708 0.289335
2025-12-14 0.012588 0.021830 0.036991 0.063674 0.109590 0.185642 0.321774
2025-12-21 0.010791 0.019520 0.034439 0.061797 0.110873 0.195542 0.353498
2025-12-28 0.009802 0.018443 0.033788 0.063026 0.117550 0.215267 0.404739
2026-01-04 0.008830 0.017241 0.032728 0.063320 0.122488 0.232400 0.453401
2026-01-11 0.007978 0.016134 0.031673 0.063436 0.127031 0.249246 0.503596
2026-01-18 0.007334 0.015336 0.031085 0.064344 0.133165 0.269767 0.563541
2026-01-25 0.006847 0.014803 0.030976 0.066258 0.141696 0.296330 0.639922
2026-02-01 0.006022 0.013447 0.029024 0.064094 0.141504 0.305221 0.680726
2026-02-08 0.005475 0.012611 0.028046 0.063866 0.145400 0.323111 0.743381
2026-02-15 0.004963 0.011782 0.026968 0.063259 0.148347 0.339274 0.804322
2026-02-22 0.004645 0.011352 0.026715 0.064485 0.155606 0.365879 0.892848
2026-03-01 0.004232 0.010637 0.025714 0.063811 0.158302 0.382352 0.959559
2026-03-08 0.003798 0.009809 0.024341 0.062051 0.158129 0.392023 1.010954
2026-03-15 0.003409 0.009042 0.023014 0.060222 0.157531 0.400565 1.060656
2026-03-22 0.003222 0.008771 0.022883 0.061420 0.164800 0.429512 1.166933
2026-03-29 0.003006 0.008391 0.022426 0.061706 0.169723 0.453105 1.262294
2026-04-05 0.002802 0.008015 0.021930 0.061820 0.174197 0.476093 1.359200